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What we learned from 2013 DWCC Night 6

Below are our non-consecutive thoughts on Thursday’s sixth meeting of the Dubai World Cup Carnival.

-        It felt good to get the pace scenario spot-on and a nice price home when MOONWALK IN PARIS won the Firebreak Stakes (G3).  Aside from the fact that this horse was getting what seemed a perfect pace setup, you cannot ignore the parameters surrounding his appearance in this race.  Purchased for more than $400,000 by Godolphin in October, this GELDING was three of four on the all-weather and had never raced outside of 1500 or 1600 metres.  This horse was made to win the Godolphin Mile, and when you see Godolphin purchase a horse like that, one who particularly cannot breed, you have to think he was highly regarded.  Surprising trainers or not, this gelding did us proud.

-        We said MENTAL’s run in the Al Shindagha was a heady experiment outside of Dubai World Cup night to see if the former Aussie-based sprinter could handle the Tapeta.  The son of Lonhro passed with flying colours.  KRYPTON FACTOR ran well, and certainly needed the run, his first since the Royal Ascot meeting.

The pace in this race was particularly hot, with the first 800-metre leading sectional the fastest such split at Meydan – clocked in 46.47 seconds.  GANAS and company set the stage well for a closing kick, and with some quick-tempo American runners expected to run in the Golden Shaheen, this race could prove a very credible snapshot of what we might see on the big night. Watch the Al Shindagha Sprint below.

-        David Simcock was very clear that TRADE STORM would badly need his first race of the season and we are only sorry we didn’t put him on top.  He ran on with precision, powering home to win.

It should be noted that Anaerobio was gallant to stay on for second, but the winner was eye-catching.  Simcock became the first non-UAE-based trainer to win more than one Carnival race this campaign (Ottoman Empire was his other tally, last week).

-        KASSIANO, SOFT FALLING RAIN, ANATOLIAN became the first multiple-Carnival winners this season with their scores.

-        IGUGU is scheduled to run next week in the Balanchine.  We are excited already.

-        Forgive us in advance for the short analysis of Saturday’s local meeting at Meydan.  We are quite keen on LAYALI DUBAI in the finale, and expect SPECIFIC GRAVITY to run on with aplomb after needing the run.

-        Godolphin has won 15 of 36 races at the 2013 Carnival, and their horses have been sent off as favourite in 20 of the 36 races, based on the international tote prices.  Only eight of those 20 favourites have won.  More so, nine of the last eleven thoroughbred races at Meydan have seen a Godolphin runner go off as favourite, with four of those winning.

-        SOFT FALLING RAIN was superb in the UAE 2,000 Guineas, which was the second-fastest 1,600-metre race of the season at Meydan, behind only the Firebreak Stakes.

SNOWBOARDER just keeps staying-on and really seems to be wanting more ground, and if he goes on in the Al Bastakiya on Super Saturday, he might just be the horse. Watch the 2,000 Guineas below.

-        KAVANAGH had every right to quit in the Al Shindagha Sprint, but dug in gamely, losing to Mental by only a length. He may have found what he wants to do in the UAE, and we wouldn’t be surprised to see him back in the Mahab Al Shimaal.

Feel free to share whatever thoughts you might have on the day in the comments section.

2 comments

  1. It was an extraordinary night for the Godolphin team. They must surely be particularly pleased with the performances of MENTAL and MOONWALK IN PARIS who are hopefuls for the big night in March. Anatolian confirmed his last victory and showed he is really on the up and a force to reckon with for the remaining of the Carnival.
    SOFT FALLING RAIN went on to a comfortable sixth win and remains undefeated. He showed lots of class to prevail over a questionable mile trip for him. We will leave it to Mike de Kock to decide whether he sees out the Derby trip or not, but no doubt he’ll be a big factor wherever he goes next.
    TRADE STORM was very impressive as he stormed down the Meydan turf with ease. It will be interesting to see him in upper company next time out…let’s not forget he left MIKHAIL GLINKA (rated at 115!) almost 6L behind. So he’s definitely an exciting prospect.

    Can’t wait to see IGUGU competing her first race outside South Africa as well…she’ll be ring rusty for sure but as you know she’s a ‘Jewel’ (English translation of ‘Igugu’)! So watch out!

  2. The sire of Moonwalk in Paris, Oratorio, has just arrived in South Africa to stand at stud here. Nice advance advert for him!

    Igugu is seriously good but I’d wait a bit to see if she is ready to win after a loooong time in quarantine.

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