Home / Perspectives / Recapping Super Thursday 2011

Recapping Super Thursday 2011

Ok, let’s get it out of the way.  We totally, COMPLETELY missed on Twice Over (pictured below, middle).  Call us ungrateful considering we said we wouldn’t bet Twice Over with borrowed money.  We stand by that opinion, but based only on what we knew going into the night of racing.  Grab that dunce cap and toss it this way.

Twice Over ran a visually impressive race – but the final time was ridiculously slow on a night where the other dirt races were relatively on-par compared to other Carnival times.  That concerns us a bit for his chances on the big night, but we will form a full opinion over the weekend and also develop our projected Dubai World Cup field and initial morning line.


Photo courtesy EERC photographer Cedric Lane

Similar to Twice Over and the connections’ “this is just a prep, he needs more work” warning, trainer Michael Bell did the same for Jebel Hatta winner Wigmore Hall.  Bell went out of his way during a Dubai Racing Channel interview to note how much this race was just the start of a long international campaign, one he would come-on for…then he goes out and runs a big one in, yet again, a slower time than we would expect. 

What we liked from Super Thursday:

-  Bankable showed real heart and got a great leg-stretcher in despite another troubled trip.  Headed back to the grass, he could be dangerous on the stretch out in the Dubai Duty Free.

 - Even though it wasn’t enough, we felt heartened that Win For Sure acquitted our backing well with a decent fourth behind Musir and Gitano Hernando.

 - After Presvis ran a huge Al Rashidiya, a bit of a step back in the Jebel Hatta isn’t crazy in hindsight.  Still, he ran well and progressive enough to think he can really move forward on the big night.

 - Monsieur Joe had some bad luck in running, but still ran a huge race and if he can improve slightly, will be in the mix on the big night.

 - Still of the belief that Musir was not fully cranked for his effort, especially as he was called up to the big race after being prepped for the Burj Nahaar.  Could continue his progression in the Dubai World Cup

What we didn’t like from Super Thursday

 - Happy Dubai could have run his top race here and not in the Al Quoz Sprint. 

 - Mendip didn’t thrill us in the Burj Nahaar and may or may not run on in the Dubai World Cup.  His win was slower than his Maktoum Challenge victory from January, but doesn’t match up to what Skysurfers did earlier in the campaign when winning the Firebreak Stakes. 

 - While Monterosso (pictured below) looked good off the shelf in the Dubai City of Gold, the well-fancied Interaction just gave it up in the stretch and is probably unlikely to make the Dubai World Cup – he was discussed as a possible.


Photo courtesy EERC photographer Cedric Lane

Best chances (not saying they will win, but just the best to come out of the big night) on Dubai World Cup night coming out of Super Thursday:

- Presvis – Dubai Duty Free
- Monterosso – Dubai Sheema Classic
- Bankable – Dubai Duty Free
- Gitano Hernando – Dubai World Cup
- Musir – Dubai World Cup;
- Monsieur Joe – Al Quoz Sprint

Coming this weekend – our amended look at the projected Dubai World Cup field with odds.

2 comments

  1. I think Bankable could be a factor again this year in the Duty Free. I also think Presvis has a very real chance of reversing form on Wigmore Hall and Poet’s Voice in the race, as he was barely touched off. As the Wigmore Hall and Poet’s Voice had a clear shot on the outside, while Presvis had to wind his way through traffic. I also believe Gitano Hernando and Musir could improve on their Al Maktoum Challenge Rd.3 run’s in the Dubai World Cup. And Monterosso could certainly get a piece of the Sheema Classic pie. Although I feel his trek could be a bit tougher if Joshua Tree and Mastery show up for the race? JMO.

  2. I also missed the Twice Over boat in the Al Maktoum Challenge Rd. 3. Primarily because of his very lack luster run at Meydan in the 2010 DWC. I backed Musir heavy to win, and Gitano Hernando for minor placings. That said, I think we’ve had three very impressive winners in all three rounds of this year’s Al Maktoum Challenge. Mendip in Rd.1, Bold Silvano in Rd.2, and Twice Over in Rd.3. I think those 3 horses all pose a very real and legit threat of winning this year’s DWC, although I think you’d have to say that Twice Over’s field was certainly closest of the three rounds to looking a legit DWC field.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

*

You may use these HTML tags and attributes: <a href="" title=""> <abbr title=""> <acronym title=""> <b> <blockquote cite=""> <cite> <code> <del datetime=""> <em> <i> <q cite=""> <strike> <strong>

Scroll To Top