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Recapping picks and superlatives for the 2013 Dubai World Cup

Click on any of the links below for our race analysis

R1 – Dubai Kahayla Classic for purebred Arabians (G1)
R2 – Godolphin Mile (G2)
R3 –  Dubai Gold Cup (G3)
R4 – UAE Derby (G2)
R5 – Al Quoz Sprint (G1)
R6 – Dubai Golden Shaheen (G1)
R7 – Dubai Duty Free (G1)
R8 – Dubai Sheema Classic (G1)
R9 – Dubai World Cup (G1)

Most likely winner of the DWC meeting: Race 8 – #8 Gentildonna
Best bet of the DWC meeting: Race 4 – #4 Lines of Battle
Best longshot chance of the DWC meeting: Race 6, #12 Private Zone (UK markets), R9 – #1 Treasure Beach (tote)
Worst likely favorite (UK markets): Race 7 – #14 Trade Storm
Worst short-priced contender: Race 6 – #5 Gordon Lord Byron
Most intriguing placing chance at a monumental price: Race 2 – #10 Haatheq
Best story if a winner: Race 6 – #12 Private Zone
Overall favorite most likely to lose: Race 6 – #10 Mental
Least favorite race of the night: Race 3 – Dubai Gold Cup
Most confusing race of the night: Race 7 – Dubai Duty Free
Biggest potential for a WOW performance: Race 8 – Dubai Sheema Classic

4 comments

  1. That’s all the information you need right there, folks. Phenomenal handicapping from Pat Cummings. I have at my been at my studies hard for days that I can barely keep my eyes open or compose a sentence. Making a pot of late night coffee to help me pour the finer details so that I can structure a few exotic Heinz bets. Astonishing value still to be had. I may throw a few comments down tomorrow once I have made the requisite investments with my bookie.

  2. Hi Pat, what an awesome job handicapping world cup day and the carnival. Really phenomenal. Where I disagree regarding your selections is with Secret Number. The fact that his time sections were not great on his reappearance does not mean that the race was a poor one. He won well in hand, so I think the timing can be discarded. If Mike de Kock thinks Zahee is one of his main chances on Saturday, then Secret Number must be in with a great shout. He’s better than Zahee and with the expected improvement from his last run and his top pedigree, I rate him as possibly the banker of the night. Enjoy the night, it looks set to be a really good one.

    Cheers
    JM.

  3. Trainer most likely to come out on top? I’ll put a vote in for Mike de Kock (ok, so I’m biased!)But it’s gonna be fun, however it pans out.

  4. To Pat Cummings and all the hard working folks at DubaiRaceNight.Com, many thanks for all of your hard work on spot on analysis week after week during the 2013 Dubai Carnival. As per usual, it was flawless again!! I think I enjoyed this year’s Carnival more than any I have in sometime because we got to see so many talented horses, and we also got to see several horses really raise their game to a whole new level. Some of the brightest stars of the carnival for me that ran multiple times are:

    #1-Sajjhaa: If they gave away an award for the most outstanding horse of the carnival she would win it hands down. Given the Duty Free is also a $5 million dollar G1 races with that carries the same status as the G1 Sheema Classic, I think it’s fair to say Sajjhaa eclipsed the great Sun Classique in 2008 for the most successful female to race in Dubai. Both won the Cape Verdi & Balanchine. Sun Classique then went straight to the Sheema Classic and won it in 2008. Sajjhaa however took part in an another entirely separate G1 race that happens to be the most important prep for the Duty Free, and she won it also.

    #2-Soft Falling Rain: What hasn’t this 3YO done that Mike De Kock has ask of him? A perfect 7 for 7 now for his career. He’s a listed & G1 winner on turf in South Africa and a G3 & G2 winner on tapeta in Dubai. This horse reeks of class and IMO may be one of the best 3YO that Sheikh Hamdan Bin Rashid Al Maktoum and the Shadwell operation have had in many, many years.

    #3-Reynaldothewizard: Possibly the biggest transformation made of any of the top performers in Dubai this year. For the past 3 seasons he’s toiled away at Meydan’s winter meeting and the 3 Carnivals prior in conditions races and low level handicaps, ofter finding Barbecue Eddie as his top opponent in may of those races. But someone in Satish Seemar’s barn got wise and put a set of blinkers on this horse and suddenly an entirely differently horse emerged. No longer a conditions & handicap level horse, but now a legitimated G1,G2,G3 level horse. What a turnaround Reynaldothewizard made at Meydan this year!!

    Regards to all at DubaiRaceNight until next season!!

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