Home / Meydan Tips and Race Analysis / Recapping our picks for Thursday’s DWCC Night 1, AmWager preview video, plus Mackenzie’s best bet

Recapping our picks for Thursday’s DWCC Night 1, AmWager preview video, plus Mackenzie’s best bet

Here is a recap of our selections for the first night of the 2015 Dubai World Cup Carnival. Along with the picks from DubaiRaceNight.com editor Pat Cummings are UAE seasonal tipster Mackenzie Kirker-Head and AmWest’s Carnival host Joe Kristufek. Each week, this page will feature a recap of each person’s tips and Mackenzie’s best bet of the night.

 

January 8 – Meydan Selections
Pat Cummings Mackenzie Kirker-Head
Race # Horse Race # Horse
1 6 Raaziq 1 6 Raaziq
2 7 Henry Clay 2 2 El Estruendoso
3 3 Hototo 3 1 Ahtoug
4 10 Bannock 4 1 Tamarkuz
5 3 Mushreq 5 2 True Story
6 1 Surfer 6 7 Outstrip
7 10 Safety Check 7 2 Tawhid
Results – 147: 32-37-20 (21.8% win) Results – 146: 30-17-20 (20.5% win)
Joe Kristufek
Race # Horse
1 6 Raaziq
2 4 Farrier
3 1 Ahtoug
4 1 Tamarkuz
5 2 True Story
6 12 Emirates Flyer
7 1 Iguazu Falls


Mackenzie’s Best Bet – Race 2 – #2 El Estruendoso

The second race of the day, the $110,000 Longines Prima Luna Handicap, offers a few horses trying the dirt for the first time but are all regally bred for the surface. Pat Cummings covered #6 Dragon Falls and #11 Almoonqith in his analysis, but the focus here is on #2 EL ESTRUENDOSO, a five-year-old lightly raced gelding by Giant’s Causeway, trained by Mike de Kock. Giant’s Causeway’s singular attempt on the dirt landed him a short neck behind Tiznow in the Breeders’ Cup Classic.

Since then he has gone on to produce standout dirt offspring, such as the likely winner of the Eclipse for Champion Two Year Old Filly, Take Charge Brandi, Santa Anita Derby winner Creative Cause, Santa Anita Handicap winner Heatseeker, and Grade 1 dirt winner Swift Temper.  El Estruendoso’s dam was equally impressive, being the Argentinian mare Estricta, who was a Grade 1 winner on the dirt in her native country.

Not only does this gelding have the dirt in his blood, he has run consistently well, losing by short margins. In his most recent start in February he was sixth beaten only three lengths by Vercingetorix, who went on to win the GI Jebel Hatta in his next start. Prior to that, El Estruendoso was beaten just a half-length, and before that, a head, all in similar turf handicap company. He seems to give it his best and prefers tracking the leaders, which should benefit on a speed-favoring track.

One comment

  1. Very impressed by 2 horses on day of the carnival. First was True Story in the Singspiel Stakes. The gelding operation, coupled with losing the visor in favor of cheek pieces looked to be just what the doctor ordered for him, because when James Doyle pushed the button he left Mushreq, Pilote, & Sanshaawes all 3 for dead in a blink through the stretch. Reminds me a little of Sharestan’s Meydan debut in the Al Rashidiya Trial but then he fizzled after that. Hope the same doesn’t happen with True Story. The other horse that continues to improve with each race is Faulkner. 3 career starts and 3 career wins, all on conventional dirt. Faulkner’s still so lightly raced right now it’s honestly difficult to tell where the ceiling might actually be for him, IMO.

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