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Meydan Analysis – February 16

Below is our truncated analysis for Saturday’s card at Meydan

Race 1 – Al Basti Equiworld Baileys Cup Maiden – 2,000 metres – All-weather

We are still keen to ride the band wagon with #13 COOL WIND, well, our own wagon so to speak.  She has had chances in the past and the setups might not always be the best.  She’s back in against maiden company and this race stands to have a solid early tempo for her to run-on.

1st – #13 COOL WIND, 2nd – #16 QUEEN OF ALBA, 3rd – #1 ALBAYAN

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Race 2 – Al Basti Equiworld Foran Cup Handicap – 1,400 metres – All-weather

#2 DUBAI ICONIC was sent to get a good position early, overcoming a wide draw last time, and now gets a tidier spot in gate seven.  The trip should be better this time, although co-top-weight is a concern.  #1 AL RAZI is somewhat questionable over the 1,400 trip as opposed to his consecutive successes at 1,200.

1st – #2 DUBAI ICONIC, 2nd – #1 AL RAZI, 3rd – #5 MAATH GOOL

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Race 3 – Al Basti Equiworld Bluefrog Trophy Handicap – 1,200 metres – turf

#10 NAWWAAR and #3 LES TROYENS reoppose here and certainly seem the likeliest chances, with Nawwaar loving what he was doing and Les Troyens chasing.  Now both are asked to do it over a sprint distance, where the edge goes to Godolphin.

1st – #3 LES TROYENS, 2nd – #4 MURAWEG, 3rd – #10 NAWWAAR

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Race 4 – Al Basti Equiworld Hartog Cup Handicap – 1,600 metres – All-weather

This is a headscratching affair that could go in many directions. We side with #1 COUNT PARIS whose running style of late suggests the setup over the mile is just fine, even if he had a dull run two back.  #17 KINGDOM BEAUTY does interest, drawing into the field.  She covered extra ground last time which makes her competitive and that breeding suggests the mile is no trouble.  Drawn wide, however, it will take an enterprising ride from Daragh O’Donoghue to work out the best trip.  It’s a strange race with the weights and the 3-year-old entrants, and there is no overwhelming opinion in any direction.

1st – #1 COUNT PARIS, 2nd – #17 KINGDOM BEAUTY, 3rd – #5 MARK TO MARKET

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Race 5 – Al Basti Equiworld Al Basti Cup Handicap – 2,000 metres – turf

We have to think this race is run more true than when Nawwaar went on the front end.  #2 SPECIFIC GRAVITY should improve for that run.  He’s planted wide again, but the trip is more to his liking. #1 ROCKS OFF gets back on his preferred surface and while up in the weights, he seems well suited.

1st – #2 SPECIFIC GRAVITY, 2nd – #1 ROCKS OFF, 3rd – #7 FLAG OFFICER

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Race 6 – Al Basti Equiworld Hygain Trophy Handicap – 2,200 metres – All-weather

Certainly another tough one here, but #4 LAYALI DUBAI covered all sorts of extra ground last time and had numerous bad bumps along the way that surely helped factor into her margin of defeat.  If you can forgive a horrendous trip, he stands to improve significantly in this spot.  He covered 23 metres more than rail-riding winner Rebel Song, while the horse that tracked with her, and caused much of the trouble, Ukrainian, went on to finish a close third.  Layali Dubai could lay over the field with a better trip.

1st – #4 LAYALI DUBAI, 2nd – #13 STORM BELT, 3rd – #10 INTHAR

’12-’13 UAE season-to-date: 222 selections – 57 first, 33 second, 31 third
25% winners, 54% top pick in top three

2 comments

  1. race 1: petty officer, midnight moon, cool wind
    race 2: dubai iconic, jamhoori, furnance
    race 3: alo pura, nawwaar, sand stamp
    race 4: mark to market, count paris, ouzinkie
    race 5: eddie jock, jawhar, rocks off
    race 6: udabaa, storm belt, moonlight dash

    p.s. I love related, but I think that mile is too long for him… I think that he needs 6 or 7 furlong race and good draw – in four races in dubai he had stalls 14, 13 and 12, and had only one good draw when he was in stall 1 but he started awkwardly in that race… so – related maybe next time with conditions more in his favour…

  2. It may take him a little while to fully develop into something, but I have a hunch that Dubai Iconic may in time turn into a special horse. Absolutely love his pedigree, out of a Constidore Cielo mare and sired by the great Argentinian bred Candy Ride, who was never beaten in his career, albeit a short one, and he was a G1 winner on turf in South America and a G1 winner on conventional dirt in the United States. Dubai Iconic’s won 2 of his first 5 starts now, and hasn’t run badly in his other 3 races, either. So far he’s raced exclusively on tapeta, but given how great his father was on turf & dirt, I’d be curious to see Satish Seemar give him a shot at running on turf at Meydan or even take him to Jebel-Ali for a go on conventional dirt. I think he’s one to put an asterisk by his name and keep an eye out for in future races. JMO.

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