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Meydan Analysis – February 14

This is a wild card from Meydan with an overwhelming number of chances in many of the races. Good luck navigating these choppy waters, it should be fun regardless. Below is our abbreviated analysis.

Race 1 – AED 100,000 Alpha Maiden – 1,400m – dirt

Drawn on the inside and with plenty of legitimate experience, #9 GENERAL MARSHALL is the choice. He’s bred for the dirt through and through, and frankly should absolutely love it. An easy pick in this bunch. #6 SULLIVAN STREET will have to deal with another wide draw but his four lengths behind Year of Glory is the next most-decent form in the race. #5 SKY JOCKEY has clearly had some issues taking this long to return, though splitting the field against Faulkner is credible.

1st – #9 GENERAL MARSHALL, 2nd – #6 SULLIVAN STREET, 3rd – #5 SKY JOCKEY

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Race 2 – AED 110,000 Radio1 Breakfast Show Conditions (Rated 60-85) – 1,600m – dirt

This is a very competitive heat when you peel back a few layers. #1 DUBAI ICONIC was a strong second in his first start in nearly two years when behind Satwa Story last time. That stablemate was put up 16 pounds for the effort, a 6 ¾ length win, while Dubai Iconic stayed on the level. It was a strong performance and there’s every reason to think he wheels back well.

#4 STATE LAW never makes it easy on himself but has been as consistent as any this season. We aren’t blown away by the fact he just barely beat Famous Warrior last time, though. #6 DAIRAM is lacking a win in the UAE but gets another rail draw, which treated him well last time.

1st – #1 DUBAI ICONIC, 2nd – #4 STATE LAW, 3rd – #6 DAIRAM

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Race 3 – AED 140,000 Gulf News Handicap (Rated 85-99) – 1,200m – turf

A bit of a mess here, really. #2 MASHAAREF was competent in his return to grass at Abu Dhabi and is arguably in an easier spot. #1 ROI DE VITESSE is absolutely in an easier spot and could give trainer Ali Jan a second win under circumstances similar to his first. Newcomers #4 BLESSINGTON , #8 ENGLISH DEER, and #10 PETERKIN offer interest as well, while #12 ZALZILAH has done all his best on the green stuff and finally gets back to it.

Off the top weight, it’s seemingly difficult to tip a horse like Roi De Vitesse, but this is such a monumental drop, we just have to.

1st – #1 ROI DE VITESSE, 2nd – #8 ENGLISH DEER, 3rd – #12 ZALZILAH

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Race 4 – AED 120,000 Property Weekly Handicap (Rated 75-90) – 1,400m – dirt

Another very difficult race to assess with wild form variances among many, and a pace scenario that seems contested. It took #8 YEAR OF GLORY a long time to break out of the maiden ranks, could it have turned the light in his head? We won’t put it beyond Year of Glory to be the speed of the speed and just outlast them all. If he doesn’t see it out from a rail draw, we just aren’t confident in any of the ones beyond him.

1st – #8 YEAR OF GLORY, 2nd – #11 CENTRIFUGAL, 3rd – #4 ALAREEF

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Race 5 – AED 140,000 Xpress Handicap (Rated 85-99) – 1,600m – turf

This is a handy step down for #5 SO BEAUTIFUL and #6 DERBAAS, and a welcome one at that for both. Derbaas, when sixth beaten a length in the Carnival handicap earlier this campaign, would make complete sense. #9 MARCHING TIME is saddled with a wide draw but was the selection of Pat Dobbs, and it’s fairly obvious, as all his best work has been done on the grass.

#14 JOURNEYMAN is clearly far from straightforward but landed a blow last time and could improve. He gets into this light and is back with the affable Johnny Geroudis. #7 LEHAAF, the other de Kock entrant, was staying on over 1,600 the last two times he tried and that could be enough in this group.

Yet another head-scratcher.

1st – #3 LEHAAF, 2nd – #6 DERBAAS, 3rd – #9 MARCHING TIME

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Race 6 – AED 120,000 Aquarius Handicap (Rated 65-80) – 2,000m – dirt

This race brings a few we’ve chased on numerous occasions this year. #7 MIZBAH looks like one of only real likely to want the lead. He’s fairly well-handicapped and even more well-drawn for it. #13 HARD DIVORCE should go forward too and could stick around. #1 ETIJAAH came out of nowhere last time but just could be putting things together.

#10 AL NASSA is incredibly well-bred for dirt and showed he can get over it last time. He draws Richard Mullen too.

1st – #7 MIZBAH, 2nd – #10 AL NASSA, 3rd – #13 HARD DIVORCE

February 14 – Meydan Selections
Pat Cummings Mackenzie Kirker-Head
Race # Horse Race # Horse
1 9 General Marshall 1 9 General Marshall
2 1 Dubai Iconic 2 1 Dubai Iconic
3 1 Roi De Vitesse 3 4 Blessington
4 8 Year of Glory 4 3 Alareef
5 3 Lehaaf 5 2 Ducab
6 7 Mizbah 6 5 Street Act

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