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Jebel Ali Tips, Spot Analysis – November 15

A highly competitive six-race fixture opens a three-day stand in the UAE, featuring the return of several names well known to those who frequent the western Dubai course. Across the board, any strong claims on the top prizes are difficult to find, but some good angles should manifest for players in the on-course tipping competitions and international punters. Below, find our spot analysis with full tips at the bottom of the post.

Race 3 – Conditions – 1,400 metres – Dirt

This is a phenomenal race with plenty of angles, featuring Jebel Ali legend #3 KILT ROCK. This has the look of a real prep for the 109-rated gelding, and over a trip slightly longer than he might want, so we have to go elsewhere. #2 FORJATT is a course specialist who always seems to run a decent race. His finishes behind Haatheq and Capital Attraction last season, not to mention the wins, stand out on his ledger, also.

#4 MASHAAREF and #5 NAWWAAR were both impressive in defeat at Meydan last week, covering plenty of extra ground relative to winner Ramonti Flash. According to the Trakus data, Mashaaref went 16 metres more while Nawwaar covered 14 metres more than the winner who was planted to the rail throughout the 1 ¼-turn, 1,600-metre event. The former is a winner at Jebel Ali, while the latter took a turf event at Meydan last season. Both seem like logical choices, but we lead on Mashaaref in an event that might see a quick early gallop.

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Race 5 – Handicap (Rated 85-110) – 1,200 metres – Dirt

#1 MUJAAZEF is a five-time winner at Jebel Ali, catching a short field, but we would be remiss to go against #3 MUARRAB after a dazzling run two weeks ago. His final time was reported as 56.36 seconds, which smashes the course record if true, even though we think it was slightly slower than the reported time. Regardless, he did it with supreme ease and have to think that he can back up over slightly farther without much concern.

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Race 6 – Handicap (Rated 85-105) – 1,600 metres – Dirt

Some more familiar names make their return to Jebel Ali in this spot, but we go with the recent Sharjah winner #8 STORM BELT. The son of More Than Ready is poised to continue his rise up the ratings and gets into this spot off a juicy 53 kilograms, seven less than top-weighted #1 ZAIN SHAMARDAL, and 7.5 less than he carried last week in an easy win against lesser company.

In that race, Storm Belt covered a three-wide trip, mostly without cover, and did it easily under the big impost. The second highest weighted rival was four lengths adrift in second and was never going to catch Storm Belt, who won in a hand-ride from Pat Dobbs. Now, Tadhg O’Shea gets on with the colt, whose dam is a half to the impressive American Grade 1-winning galloper Congaree. This guy has the looks of a classic multi-season improver in the UAE, getting better with more experience in the desert. Last week was very impressive, and there are questions in this group with some others coming off very long breaks and surely in need of the run.

Jebel Ali – November 15

Race

#

Horse

1

5

Gustav

2

3

Kessraa

3

4

Mashaaref

4

1

Journalistic

5

3

Muarrab

6

8

Storm Belt

2013-2014 UAE season-to-date: 30 races – 7 first, 3 second, 5 third (23% wins, 50% top 3)

 

 

One comment

  1. Friday 15th Nov 2013, Jeb Ali

    Race1, #10 Safina Ghantoot, #11 Sahm Wrsan, #8 Mehajj Wrsan
    Race2, #6 Tagseed, #8 Qannaas, #3 Kessraa
    Race3, #8 Straight Talk, #3 Kilt Rock, #5 Nawwaar
    Race4, #4 Bircham, #8 Sowaylm, #7 Bravo Youmzain
    Race5, #2 Sholaan, #1 Mujaazef, #3 Muarrab
    Race6, #7 Mutajare, #8 Storm Belt, #4 Tanfeeth

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