Below is our spot analysis for Friday’s meet at Jebel Ali, a meeting featuring the Jebel Ali Stakes prep, a race that has drawn two runners who finished in the first four from races on Dubai World Cup night.
Race 2 – Handicap – 1,800 metres
This really feels like a wide-open race that some might otherwise suggest is cut-and-dry on paper. You could make straightforward cases for #3 INTERPRET and #7 STREET ACT, but we really believe both have issues with consistency, enough to stay away this week. What about #9 MUTUAL FORCE? Saeed Al Mazrooei takes off a valuable three kilos, to get this guy in five kilos lighter than the next lightest rival, has two of his four wins at Jebel Ali, and really ran quite well over a long trip at Abu Dhabi last week that should have knocked the cobwebs off. Mutual Force won third up last season, and while this is his second-up run, his rust-remover last week was much better than what he did early last season.
Race 4 – Conditions – 1,200 metres
#6 MUARRAB has been so good this season, and #1 RUSSIAN ROCK is such a trier, with overwhelming local success, and a win in this race a year ago. #8 UNITED COLOR is the forgotten horse in the race, returning off a strong fifth in the Dubai Golden Shaheen. If #5 KILT ROCK finds his way back to normal, then he potentially grabs yet another piece of the pie, but it is tough to see him on top. The smoking form of Muarrab in the last is enough for put him on top.
Race 6 – Maiden – 1,400 metres
#4 DRESS DOWN is out of a very accomplished dirt-loving mare, Bare Necessities, who had eight wins from 26 starts, including several wins and placings in graded races. The best performance from Bare Necessities probably came when third, beaten 2 ½ lengths by the great Azeri in the Vanity (G1) at Hollywood Park in 2003. Now, granted, Bare Necessities isn’t in this race. Two of the three foals she has dropped, and who have made starts, are winners, but of nothing all that notable. This is far from a tough test, though, and we know these connections have popped earlier in the season. Should Richard Hughes get the balance and experience of riding Jebel Ali down to muster by the end of the card, Dress Down is a worthy runner to consider on top.
|Jebel Ali – December 27|
|5||5||Tiz Now Tiz Then|
2013-2014 UAE-season-to-date: 114 races – 33 first, 17 second, 12 third (28.9% win, 54.4% top 3)
Catch the videos from TalkingHorsesUAE, previewing the day’s races. The first race is below.