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Dubai World Cup winner v. Arc winner v. Rest of Japan

The Dubai World Cup champion, Victoire Pisa, makes his first start since the emotional $10 million win while the progressive, impressive Danedream goes for a sweep of the most prestigious 12-furlong turf races to end the season.  Meanwhile, 14 others, including Jaguar Mail, Hiruno d’Amour, Buena Vista, and others contest the big race.  SportingLife looks at the field.

One comment

  1. I think Danedream is an incredible looking filly. She really put the world on notice with her display against many of the world’s top middle distance turf horses by thrashing this year’s Arc field. Arc runner-up, Sareta, also ran a cracking good race at Longchamp that day, too. The other French filly in the race, Sarah Lynx, was very impressive in her own right when she traveled to Woodbine in Canada, and scored with a convincing win in the G1 Pattison-Canadian International Stakes. All 3 of these fillies certainly have the ability and the credentials to be in the Japan Cup field. But my hesitation is that the Europeans have sent over some pretty good horses for the past 2 running’s of the race, and Conduit’s 4th place finish behind Vodka in the 09′ Japan Cup is the best finish that a European horse has turned in the past 2 running’s. Last season saw Cirrus Des Aigles finish 9th, Joshua Tree finish 10th, and Dandino finish 11th in the race. For whatever reason, the Japanese horses just seem to have the European horses number in this race over past couple years. I think if he hadn’t had a set back, causing him to come into this race off of a pretty lengthy lay-off that Victoire Pisa would likely be the favorite. But I’m not really sure that long lay-off will benefit him against this year’s Japan Cup field. But I think he’ll be a dangerous horse again once he get’s 2 or 3 races under his belt. I’m gonna stick with the meat and potatoes of Japan. She hasn’t really looked her best in her last 2 or 3 races. But Buena Vista hasn’t by any means disgraced herself either. She was much the best in last year’s Japan Cup. When the stewards at Tokyo racecourse completely disgraced themselves, and the horse, by disqualifying Buena Vista for almost non existent contact that had absolutely no bearing at all on the race’s outcome. It’s the big stage where Buena Vista has always been at her best, and what bigger stage is there in Japan than the G1 Japan Cup? I just really think her past couple of average by her standards effort will set her up perfectly for another really big run in this year’s race. You can never discount Buena Vista’s chances of winning any G1 stakes race in Japan, IMO. Likely to get a very attractive price on her, too. My picks for the race are:

    Buena Vista-Win
    Sarah Lynx-Show
    Victoire Pisa-4th

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