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2013 Dubai World Cup – R8 – Dubai Sheema Classic Analysis

Race 8 – $5,000,000 Dubai Sheema Classic (G1), presented by Longines, 2,410 metres, Turf

#8 GENTILDONNA has been a beast. The winner of the 2012 Japan Cup (G1) against Orfevre, her will to win as seen in that race is dynamic.  While she doesn’t win by much, she wins, and bulls her way through to get the prize. We were very impressed with her appearance on her first day out of quarantine when she buzzed around the all-weather at Meydan and did not turn a hair. She races with a degree of tactical prominence, but it is possible she is more midfield with the solid pace presence in this race, coming from the likes of #2 ROYAL DIAMOND and #3 GIROLAMO.

#6 ST NICHOLAS ABBEY did not get the best of trips in here last year and was coming late, but is the bloom still on the rose?  To get second, we don’t think he needs to do much more than run the same race as last year, and if the top pick falters ever so slightly, he could.

#11 AWAIT THE DAWN holds the course record over ten furlongs from his earlier Carnival win this season and jockey Pat Cosgrave kept him going towards the front in a race with no true pace. He’s been progressive this season, and his second in that last race should not be held against him. He just doesn’t seem near good enough to beat the Japan Cup winner.

#5 PRINCE BISHOP has been hardly disgraced on the all-weather, where we think he is best, but does go back to grass, where this son of Dubawi was a winner of four races from nine starts. He stayed on well on the all-weather, and thought him a placing chance there, but the favourite is a tough horse to go against.

The competition faced by #9 VERY NICE NAME has been soft, for the most part, in Qatar, but is ticking over in such good form that a placing at a monster price is not out of the question.

1st – #8 GENTILDONNA, 2nd – #6 ST NICHOLAS ABBEY, 3rd – #11 AWAIT THE DAWN

 

6 comments

  1. R8 #8 Gentildonna, #1 Shareta, #11 Await The Dawn

  2. Great coverage throughout the carnival, you guys are doing great stuff.

    For the Sheema I’m in the St Nic Abbey camp and have a strong liking for Prince Bishop to at the very least hit the first 4.

  3. My picks:

    1st – #6 St Nicholas Abbey
    2nd – #11 Await The Dawn
    3rd – #8 Gentildonna
    4th – #10 Dunaden

  4. I think the 2000 meter handicap win and narrow loss to Jakkalberry at 2400 meters in the G2 City of Gold has Await The Dawn precisely spot on where Mike De Kock wants him going into the race.

    1st-Await The Dawn

    2nd-St Nicholas Abbey

    3rd-Gentildonna

    4th-Dunaden

  5. For the record, I went Qatar Racing & Equestrian Club’s web-site and watched every replay of Very Nice Name’s races, and what I saw was a horse with an awesome closing kick be it at 2000, 2200, or 2400 meters. He’s won every major G1 race in Qatar, and while his competition certainly hasn’t been anything like he’ll face in the Sheema Classic, I think it’s unfair to him to say it’s been soft competition. He’s been running rough shod over some former pretty decent Coolmore horses like Beethoven, Recital, & Freedom. Also a pretty decent former Richard Hannon trained horse in Rockinante, and a former pretty decent Nigel Tinkler trained horse in Dubawi King. Like I said, certainly not the quality of horses he’ll face on Saturday, but no mugs either.

  6. Prince Bishop, Gentildonna, Await the Dawn

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